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Much of the public discourse regarding winter and the war suggests that the change in weather will hurt Ukraine's chances by giving Russia more time to regroup. Russia indeed will benefit from that, but the overall relationship is not so simple. Freezing temperatures and snow will give Ukraine an upper hand on other dimensions. Ultimately, we may come to see winter as Ukraine's ally.
0:00 Winter in Ukraine
1:59 War Is a Political Decision
3:06 Winning Is Zero Sum
3:59 Conventional Wisdom: Winter Helps Russia
7:02 Winter Does Not Freeze Conflict
10:01 How Winter Can Facilitate Conflict
12:53 Rotating Units
15:45 Supply Logistics
17:37 The Crimean Bridge
18:59 Military Discipline
22:16 Infrastructure Bombing
23:34 German Support
25:26 Misplay of the Week: Sam Bankman-Fried
Media licensed under CC BY 2.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/):
From US Army:
https://www.flickr.com/photos/soldiersmediacenter/15804446250
https://www.flickr.com/photos/soldiersmediacenter/2299510207
https://www.flickr.com/photos/soldiersmediacenter/2299510413
https://www.flickr.com/photos/soldiersmediacenter/32390502822
https://www.flickr.com/photos/soldiersmediacenter/38833080225
https://www.flickr.com/photos/soldiersmediacenter/4109619470
https://www.flickr.com/photos/soldiersmediacenter/50958595723
Media licensed under CC BY-SA 2.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/):
From Ministry of Defense of Ukraine:
https://www.flickr.com/photos/ministryofdefenceua/albums/72157669101607269
https://www.flickr.com/photos/ministryofdefenceua/albums/72157690042292152
https://www.flickr.com/photos/ministryofdefenceua/albums/72157691847212164
https://www.flickr.com/photos/ministryofdefenceua/albums/72157691991554371
https://www.flickr.com/photos/ministryofdefenceua/26206896373
https://www.flickr.com/photos/ministryofdefenceua/26344722824
https://www.flickr.com/photos/ministryofdefenceua/26503792443
https://www.flickr.com/photos/ministryofdefenceua/26559938300
https://www.flickr.com/photos/ministryofdefenceua/26559938850
https://www.flickr.com/photos/ministryofdefenceua/26855856402
https://www.flickr.com/photos/ministryofdefenceua/27283981965
https://www.flickr.com/photos/ministryofdefenceua/40131149651
Media licensed under CC BY-SA 3.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/3.0/):
From Bundesarchiv:
https://www.bild.bundesarchiv.de/dba/de/search/?query=Bild+183-B15500
From RIA Novosti:
http://visualrian.ru/ru/site/gallery/#2564
Media licensed under CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/):
From Ministry of Defense of Ukraine:
http://www.mil.gov.ua/news/2017/01/12/ukrainski-desantniki-yaki-zahishhayut-peredovi-poziczii-v-naselenomu-punkti-piski-mayut-dvorichnij-dosvid-uchasti-u-bojovih-diyah/
https://armyinform.com.ua/2022/03/29/na-harkivshhyni-vidkopaly-vorozhi-tanky-j-peredaly-na-potreby-zsu/
From Kyiv City:
https://kyivcity.gov.ua/photo/ItemImage_50_dniv_aktivnogo_sprotivu_okupantu_mriya_nikoli_ne_pomre_foto__kmda_oleksiy_samsonov/
From Rosavtodor.ru:
http://rosavtodor.ru/about/upravlenie-fda/upravlenie-stroitelstva-i-ekspluatatsii-avtomobilnykh-dorog/transportnyy-perekhod-cherez-kerchenskiy-proliv/novosti/301381
https://rosavtodor.gov.ru/about/upravlenie-fda/upravlenie-stroitelstva-i-ekspluatatsii-avtomobilnykh-dorog/transportnyy-perekhod-cherez-kerchenskiy-proliv/novosti/36321
https://rosavtodor.gov.ru/about/upravlenie-fda/upravlenie-stroitelstva-i-ekspluatatsii-avtomobilnykh-dorog/transportnyy-perekhod-cherez-kerchenskiy-proliv/novosti/42771
From Kremlin.ru:
http://www.en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/13424
http://www.en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/60490
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/61584
http://www.en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/62224
http://www.en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/62248
http://www.en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/62249
http://www.en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/62254
http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/62277
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/trips/62560
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/66675
http://kremlin.ru/events/security-council/68155
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/69390
http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/69578
http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/69956
http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/70029
http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/70067
http://kremlin.ru/events/president/news/70075
Media licensed under CC BY-SA 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/4.0/):
From Mediazona:
https://en.zona.media/article/2022/10/24/marriedanddrafted
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