The upheaval in Afghanistan exactly fits the three quarter stage in a 45 year cycle matching the Afghan conflict. The unique analysis summarised in a short video is based on years of continuing research and useful for any historian studying both regional and global aspects of the conflict.. The country went through key changes in three stages 1986-1990, 1998 - 2001 and 2007 - 2011. It is now facing a period of terminal change. What started the cycle got challenged but extended then maximised and now meets a terminal challenge. Cyclical analysis cannot forecast WHAT will happen but it can point to WHEN major change occurs. Examining the dynamic and direction of the cycle may even indicate probable generic outcomes. See mapped out concisely the 3 earlier stages in the conflict and in the light of the Taliban sweeping back to power after 20 years of US/NATO occupation decide from the cycle dynamic whether the limited but globally significant Taliban assurances in February 2020 are likely to be kept to. What are the 2 key global questions - check out some indications of the probable answers.
0 Comments